Columbia
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 83.3888Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 14- 5 218 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 19-10 221 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 15-18 228 A Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 12- 9 304 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 23- 6 307 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 6-16 311 H Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 19- 4 315 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 17-15 321 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12 328 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-15 404 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 12-13 407 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 9-20 411 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 7-18 418 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 9-19 425 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 11-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Sacred Heart 14- 5 9 7 1.75
218 H Lafayette 19-10 9 6 + 3.34
221 H Lehigh 15-18 -3 4 --- -7.39
228 A Marist 12- 9 3 5 -1.53
304 H Howard (DC) 23- 6 17 17 0.00
307 A Yale 6-16 -10 -10 -0.12
311 H Rider 19- 4 15 12 1.50
315 A San Diego State 17-15 2 2 -0.42
321 A Cornell 6-12 -6 -9 + 2.73
328 A Penn 8-15 -7 -7 0.11
404 H Brown 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.45
407 A Massachusetts 9-20 -11 -7 - -3.55
411 H Princeton 7-18 -11 -8 - -3.12
418 A Dartmouth 9-19 -10 -8 -1.79
425 H Harvard 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Lehigh 15-18 -3 4 --- -7.39 407 A Massachusetts 9-20 -11 -7 - -3.55 411 H Princeton 7-18 -11 -8 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Harvard 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.05 218 H Lafayette 19-10 9 6 + 3.34 321 A Cornell 6-12 -6 -9 + 2.73 404 H Brown 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.45 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 14- 5 -25.13 15.04 1.37 1.15 37.89
3 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 19-10 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 1.15 41.57
3 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 15-18 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 1.15 -12.07
3 A Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 12- 9 -22.41 17.76 1.37 1.15 44.17
3 H Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 23- 6 -32.13 8.03 -1.37 1.15 15.40
3 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 6-16 -8.00 32.17 1.37 1.15 -3.83
3 H Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 19- 4 -27.64 12.52 -1.37 1.15 25.77
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 17-15 -20.30 19.87 1.37 1.15 49.06
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12 -9.15 31.02 1.37 1.15 -4.49
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-15 -10.76 29.40 1.37 1.15 -5.43
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 12-13 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 1.15 -6.96
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 9-20 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.15 -5.23
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 7-18 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 1.15 -4.99
3 A Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 9-19 -9.67 30.50 1.37 1.15 -4.80
3 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 11-10 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 1.15 63.99
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230.04
|
winning pts = 277.8417 losing points = -47.7981
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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